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Category: Economics

  • The Problem with Burping Reindeer

    “It became necessary to destroy the village in order to save it”, (said during Vietnam War, where the United States went to help French with their Indochina, ending with Vietnamese eventually kicking out France, USA and China.)

    To me, the modern environmentalism increasingly resembles this insane sentiment.

    Last year, there was an uproar, when Reinhardswald in Germany was slated to make room for wind turbines ‘necessary’ for Energiewende.

    How much of this was hype and how much was counterhype, I don’t know (though I suspect my search engines show me very biased results.) On my recent trip to Finland I saw the changes in the countryside, big wind turbines can cause. It takes lots of land and removal of trees or elimination of agricultural fields to build a wind park.

    In reality, it may be environmentally less harmful to build nuclear reactors than wind turbines (depending on how you calculate EROI – my Google searches were inconclusive because the studies were either old or seemed to be shilling for one form of energy or another), and they kill fewer people (not to mention them having smaller radiation plume) than coal plants.) While there remains need for petroleum, its increasingly difficult extraction reduces its EROI, which means that in future it will probably remain as a raw material for industrial processes, maybe special fuel for internal combustion engines.

    Nevertheless, EU (including Germany) is dedicated to net zero project, which increasingly begins to seem like some weird suicide / flagellant cult with reduction in living standards (rationing energy by rising costs, attacking food production, limiting transportation and movement, and increasing housing density) and reduction in human-accessible territory.

    All these projects, while openly posted on-line, are presented so that opposing voices are portrayed as conspiracy theorists and antienvironmentalists. But is it a conspiracy theory if they themselves tell everyone their plans, or worse, their actions?

    At least the most fanatical theses from the now destroyed Georgia Guidestones are not openly touted. There are people, other than just me, who would consider the reduction of world human population to 500 million from (official) 8 billion or by over 93% rather genocidal.

    But the Green New Leap is not just for UK, Germany, Netherlands or Ireland. Finland, too, is planning ambitious net zero targets, and I mean really ambitious, as in lauded by WEF.

     Most of Finland is above 60° latitude, about the same level as Alaska or south end of Greenland, mostly more north than Yakutsk in Siberia. Energy is of utmost importance there. Roughly speaking, a person can survive a few minutes without air, a few hours without heating, a few days without water and a few weeks without food.

    Finns have survived without fossil fuels for centuries, but that was by burning wood, which is also not OK with the eurocrats – small particle pollution will kill! Presumably freezing to death is more efficient and environmental. At least the official media reassures the Finns that saunas are safe from this regulation. For now. Anyways, the war against Russia and certain realities of energy production have resulted in complications in banning wood in energy production.

    Meanwhile in China, 2024 began to build 94.5 GW worth of coal power plants and resumed 3.3 GW of suspended projects according to two think tanks. Only 2.5 GW of old capacity was closed 2024. (Side note: with China’s economy tanking and exports faltering, what do they need this new energy capacity for?)

    But what about the reindeer burps?

    Indeed, according to our reliable news media, a study was published that Lapland will not be able to meet its greenhouse targets by 2035 because of the large emissions from its agriculture, namely the reindeer. Which as ruminants are burping too much methane, which is a greenhouse gas. Unfortunately, I could not find a link to the original study to check the claims, and to see if the researchers were in earnest or if this was some sort of reductio ad absurdum-document to demonstrate the futility of the Net Zero targets.

    However, assuming the reporting is true, reindeer are part of the Arctic ecosystem, and even if the semidomesticated populations in Lapland were counted as human livestock, those globalist net zero plans that would involve reducing the number of large ruminants, such as grazing cows and sheep, come dangerously close to messing the ecosystems by removing large herbivore guild from the food network. While I can see the point in reducing the use of feedlots and grain / soybean based fodder in ranching, eliminating free-range foraging herbivores is IMHO insane.

    Ironically, the climate war against cattle (products) is not fully compatible with the idea of rewilding the land, which presumably involves switching domesticated large herbivores with wild large herbivores to the net zero effect on burps per acre in case of free grazing animals. Large scale rewilding is currently hypothetical rather than practical, as the numbers of large wild herbivores are insufficient for the switch. Humans and their cattle, pets and pests account for about 96% of terrestrial mammal biomass. The remaining about 4% is everything else from Etruscan shrew to elephant. Cows alone are ~40% of Earth’s land mammal biomass, meaning there are no replacement herbivores. And without ungulates, the grassland ecosystems will collapse.

    But back to the reindeer burps.

    When it comes to climate, worrying about the relative inputs of reindeer burps vs the rest of the nature makes even less sense. In Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption January 2022 estimated 146 million cubic meters of Pacific salt water causing a couple of years of cooling with effects possibly lasting for the rest of the decade. The atmospheric CO2 concentration near Australia and New Zealand increased from the expected 412 ppm to 414 ppm, about the size of interannual fluctuation on those parts.

    When we consider this and other volcanoes, and the coal plants of China and the rest of the world (not to mention everything else that produces greenhouse gases, such as termites), how much effect would it have on the atmospheric chemistry and global climate change if all the reindeer in Lapland stopped burping?

  • Magic Money Computers

    Apparently, our government had at least 14 of them, 11 in Department of Treasury, Department of Health and Social Services, Department of State and Department of Defense had their own magic money computers too. A Magic Money Computer, according to Elon Musk is a machine that creates money out of nothing by just issuing payments.

    The original Magic Money Computer, Sampo, being stolen from Pohjola by Kalevala raiding party. Sampo of the legend was a magic mill that produced flour, salt and money. (art by Akseli Gallen-Kallela, image sourced from Artvee)

    There has been speculation that such Magic Money Computers would allow fraudulent or erroneous invoices (such as double billing) to be paid regardless of available government funds. However, the truth of the bottomless money pit is probably more about standard prosaic grift – based on the parade of DOGE news, the US Government seems to be full of weird offices where the Directors pay to themselves and their “workers” outrageous salaries and lavish other perks (luxury apartments, luxury offices) and then top it up by (relatively) small embezzlements like expensing their everyday (luxurious) life.

    These money sinks are supplemented by a class of government parasites, ‘NGOs’ (Non-Governmental Organizations, which actually are mostly or fully dependent on government money). ‘NGOs’ (not to be confused with true charities) siphon money from government coffers and can act as money laundromats by donating heftily to nice politicians and PACs and by hiring politicians or their family members with attractive perks and reimbursement packages.

    After hearing more and more about all the ‘NGO’ grift, I felt slightly like a chump for not having founded a ‘charity’ dedicated to “Physical and emotional well-being of an individual” (namely myself),  with the governing board and financial regulators consisting of Me, Myself and I and set up a reasonable monthly stipend of, say $7497.68 including taxes and fees, though for that, I would have needed much better political connections within the bureaucracy (not to mention far more flexible morals).

    Joking aside, Magic Money Computers are a problem because they are not synchronized, i.e., there was some variation between their bookkeeping, estimated to be about 5 – 10%, which can lead to unregulated increase in nation’s money supply. Which is presumably on top of the official increase by the approved deficit spending.

    Officially, the US government does not print money. What happens is that the government issues treasuries which the big banks (primary buyers) buy to sell forward, or to Fed, which buys treasuries from the public by injecting money into the accounts of the selling banks, i.e., creating more money. Banks, of course, use their new capital as a security for issuing new loans via fractional reserve banking, multiplying the money printing effect.

    With Magic Money Computers potentially adding to the money supply, we are essentially talking about unsupervised inflation. In theory, as long as the increase in production (of goods) increases with the money supply, the prices remain steady. If the production of goods increases relative to demand at a greater rate than money supply, resulting oversupply causes price deflation, but if the money supply increases faster than production while demand remains steady or increases, this results either in price inflation or, in case of price controls, product shortages.

    I suspect that the US economy has been running an experiment where it has artificially inflated money supply (by deficit spending) while increasing demand (by paying people to consume and by importing more people) in hopes that the production would increase due to increasing demand (look at all these new workers.) What was conveniently forgotten was the regulatory jungle stifling any private enterprise while the masses of new capital were scooped by the well-connected who used it to monopolize resources needed for private enterprises, either by buying the resources themselves, the legislation regulating how the resources can be used, or the bureaucrats who determine who can use the resources (and how), namely those who are insiders.

    I would further speculate that as an increasing fraction of government money goes to the politicians, bureaucrats and their family and proteges (and paying patrons like megacorporations and transnational NGOs), an increasing fraction of resources, public and private tends to get concentrated to the hands of politically connected oligarchy. Not only does the increased regulation and fewer resources mean fewer small businesses and anemic economy, with political class acting as oligarchy the national ‘free’ enterprise begins to converge towards a top-down command economy. Command economies are very fragile and prone to collapse for multiple reasons that would be a whole another post.

    Let me finish by saying that The United States has been for many years unofficially converging towards the Soviet Model, namely the centralized command economy, and while I have been observing faint signals since the previous decade, now the results are visible in our shops to everyone.

    Take for example, eggs. The number of laying hens has gone down due to cullings, whereas the number of mouths has increased due to immigration. Unlike the mythical Sampo that produced also edible goods, the US government has only increased the amount of money in circulation, leading to price inflation and egg shortages. Magic Money Computers are not helping.

    An old photo from January 2025. Tonight, I saw lots of eggs in a supermarket.